September Robotics Report: 36,000 Humanoids Sold in Six Months. 1,200 Went to Work on a Line.
Tesla builds several hundred Optimus a week and none of them does paid work. The same month, Agility's SEC filing priced a warehouse humanoid at $8,500 a month, and Dongfeng, Toyota and Samsung put dates on the factory floor. Output and paid work finally have separate numbers.
Abstract
September was the month humanoid output pulled ahead of paid work. Tesla now builds several hundred Optimus a week, and none of the units does paid work. Frost & Sullivan counts 36,000 humanoids sold worldwide in the first half, and 1,200 of them went onto a production line.
Money kept running ahead of both. Figure has raised under $2B in its life and on September 3 signed a compute commitment that starts at $3.5B. Agility’s 2025 net sales were $1.8M against a $140M operating loss, which puts its $2.5B valuation near 1,400x revenue. Then China’s securities regulator began window guidance on humanoid IPOs, and Reuters’ sources said some makers would lose 60% to 70% of revenue if sales tied to local governments were stripped out.
The floor-side numbers are small, but they now carry prices and dates. Digit rents for about $8,500 a month, Dongfeng’s Xiaodong enters a plant in October, Toyota named 400,000 robots across 60 plants from 2028, and Samsung is building robots for chip-fab maintenance. Zurich Airport pulled the safety drivers out of two shuttles and put them in a remote cockpit. Nobody was cut. The seat moved.
This issue works in that order: 9 signals, 3 structural judgments, 3 kinds of counter-evidence and 5 things to watch in October. The last section takes the industry-level read to your own role, industry and time window.
Want the full read?
The long-form analysis — what's exposed, what holds up, where the labor market goes from here — is in the app, free for logged-in users.
Read the full reportFree · Google login · No card needed